The World’s Economic Fulcrum will Shift to Asia by Mid- Century

Geography and recent history have made one of the world’s critical relationships, India’s with China, both complex and difficult; and where the US has found ample space and opportunity to become a third play, inveigling for itself an advantage.
The triangle is founded on the premise that India and China are destined to live out the foreseeable future as rivals, if not adversaries. But rivals need not be enemies, and neighbours need not get fratricidal.
If there are two large and rising powers in a region, rivalry is inevitable.
France and Germany or Brazil and Argentina are prime examples.


The situation between India and China is not very different. Nationalism arrived in both countries at about the same time – in the early 1900’s – with the advent of Sun Yat Sen in China and Mahatma Gandhi in India.
This was after centuries of foreign domination over the Han and Hindu ethnic majorities. After decades of turbulence, servitude and exploitation, in the waning years of the 1940’s, both countries emerged as “free nations” with entirely different political and economic systems.
Mao Zedong and Jawaharlal Nehru were leaders with entirely different personalities, deologies, visions and worldviews.

Mohan Guruswamy, an alumnus of the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, has been Advisor to the Finance Minister of India. He is on the Board of the United Service Institution of India.